Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 14.681051 17.072454 19.673297 22.704663 26.133059 29.882389 34.284923
2025-08-10 10.292531 13.465585 17.268582 22.126714 28.128369 35.257763 44.321398
2025-08-17 7.730530 11.127680 15.527675 21.564524 29.539947 39.614021 53.182925
2025-08-24 6.009425 9.400644 14.095718 20.936674 30.489271 43.171624 61.059751
2025-08-31 4.680962 7.910454 12.663519 19.974590 30.697279 45.565321 67.385795
2025-09-07 4.030140 7.278827 12.315639 20.423212 32.806215 50.595843 77.553788
2025-09-14 3.502077 6.732738 11.990080 20.812753 34.792207 55.523198 87.844258
2025-09-21 2.934941 6.011574 11.267830 20.460850 35.561027 58.654236 95.655717
2025-09-28 2.440131 5.323091 10.490020 19.897060 35.892321 61.081202 102.494205
2025-10-05 2.322698 5.317215 10.882572 21.324836 39.542138 68.855490 117.966500
2025-10-12 2.173748 5.221476 11.093073 22.440190 42.736550 76.082327 132.969207
2025-10-19 1.950328 4.932457 10.901306 22.800393 44.645593 81.318254 145.057227
2025-10-26 1.690561 4.541491 10.506407 22.829699 46.134196 86.220904 157.365815
2025-11-02 1.415563 4.064115 9.879919 22.365966 46.736111 89.748800 167.781130
2025-11-09 1.179256 3.622604 9.255097 21.818497 47.113470 92.893133 177.730030
2025-11-16 0.977091 3.215426 8.633927 21.187627 47.247269 95.579447 187.010625
2025-11-23 0.788661 2.793116 7.902165 20.216089 46.595468 96.759509 193.660971
2025-11-30 0.709024 2.658593 7.828617 20.669505 48.837630 103.413845 210.489070
2025-12-07 0.636119 2.525288 7.735550 21.063129 50.980715 110.003245 227.545433
2025-12-14 0.539953 2.290837 7.342978 20.707557 51.500853 113.496990 239.041549
2025-12-21 0.450351 2.049733 6.887790 20.137866 51.493282 115.937501 248.663227
2025-12-28 0.442092 2.095244 7.232442 21.580545 56.047118 127.706751 276.686144
2026-01-04 0.422613 2.094219 7.443958 22.707448 59.971403 138.413616 303.145468